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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group A

09 May 2026 20:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO LA GUAIRA vs PORTUGUESA FC

Awaits result

Last goal: Deportivo La Guaira

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Jonathan Cañete — Portuguesa FC
  2. 🟥 Jesus Gonzalez (straight red) — Portuguesa FC

2nd half

  1. Cesar Da Silva — Deportivo La Guaira

Model prediction

Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
20%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
140 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 39% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
180 predictions

Match preview