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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group A

13 May 2026 23:30 UTC

ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO vs PORTUGUESA FC

Final 2:1

Academia Puerto Cabello won Last goal: Academia Puerto Cabello

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Cañete — Portuguesa FC
  2. ⚽ Gustavo González — Academia Puerto Cabello
  3. ⚽ Andrés Ponce — Academia Puerto Cabello

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
90-minute result: Academia Puerto Cabello
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
183 predictions

Match overview