← Back to matches

France · National

09 May 2026 17:30 UTC

LE PUY vs DIJON

Final 1:2

Dijon won Last goal: Le Puy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Waly Diouf — Dijon

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mickaël Barreto — Dijon
  2. ⚽ Axel Darnaud — Le Puy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Dijon
90-minute result: Dijon
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 247 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
186 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
218 predictions

Match overview