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France · National

09 May 2026 17:30 UTC

CHATEAUROUX vs SOCHAUX

Final 2:1

Chateauroux won Last goal: Chateauroux

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Loick Piquionne — Chateauroux
  2. ⚽ Aymen Boutoutaou — Sochaux
  3. ⚽ Ronaldo Freitas — Chateauroux

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Chateauroux
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 247 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
186 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
218 predictions

Match overview