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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

DINAMO ZAGREB vs HAJDUK SPLIT

Final 2:0

Dinamo Zagreb won Last goal: Dinamo Zagreb

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mounsef Bakrar — Dinamo Zagreb

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dion Beljo — Dinamo Zagreb

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Dinamo Zagreb
90-minute result: Dinamo Zagreb
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 164 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
87 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
6 predictions

Match overview