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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

08 May 2026 18:00 UTC

RIJEKA vs VUKOVAR 91

Final 3:0

Rijeka won Last goal: Rijeka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Adu-Adjei — Rijeka

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stjepan Radeljic — Rijeka
  2. ⚽ Toni Fruk — Rijeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Vukovar 91
90-minute result: Rijeka
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 160 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
86 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
154 predictions

Match overview