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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Northeast

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

CHEMNITZER FC vs FSV ZWICKAU

Final 3:2

Chemnitzer FC won Last goal: Chemnitzer FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Niclas Walther — Chemnitzer FC
  2. ⚽ Luca Prasse — FSV Zwickau
  3. ⚽ Tobias Stockinger — Chemnitzer FC
  4. ⚽ Marc Zimmermann — FSV Zwickau
  5. ⚽ Tobias Mueller — Chemnitzer FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FSV Zwickau
90-minute result: Chemnitzer FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 294 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,422 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1424 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
1077 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
920 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1211 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
887 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
882 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
1152 predictions

Match overview