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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga Relegation Group

09 May 2026 12:00 UTC

MLADA BOLESLAV vs FC ZLIN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FC Zlin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josef Kolarik — Mlada Boleslav

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tom Ulbrich — FC Zlin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Mlada Boleslav
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 246 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 244 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
173 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
226 predictions

Match overview