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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ZARZIS vs ETOILE METLAOUI

Final 1:0

Zarzis won Last goal: Zarzis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hedia Jertila Mohamed — Zarzis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Etoile Metlaoui
90-minute result: Zarzis
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
155 predictions
Both teams to score 74% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
213 predictions

Match overview