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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

AVENIR DE LA MARSA vs CS SFAXIEN

Final 0:3

CS Sfaxien won Last goal: CS Sfaxien

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nour Karoui — CS Sfaxien

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Emmanuel Ogbole — CS Sfaxien
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Salah Mehadhebi — CS Sfaxien

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Avenir de La Marsa
90-minute result: CS Sfaxien
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
155 predictions
Both teams to score 27% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 24% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
213 predictions

Match overview