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Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

08 May 2026 16:00 UTC

SV AUSTRIA SALZBURG vs AUSTRIA LUSTENAU

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Austria Lustenau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marinko Sorda — SV Austria Salzburg
  2. ⚽ Daniel Bares — SV Austria Salzburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna — Austria Lustenau
  2. ⚽ Robin Voisine — Austria Lustenau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
SV Austria Salzburg
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
162 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
142 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview