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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

05 May 2026 16:00 UTC

HAPOEL KFAR SABA vs BNEI YEHUDA TEL AVIV

Final 1:3

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv won Last goal: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Golan Beni — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Niv Tubul (penalty) — Hapoel Kfar Saba

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ben Hadadi — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Adar Ratner — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 90 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 253 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 238 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
73 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
211 predictions

Match overview