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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

07 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ES MOSTAGANEM vs JS SAOURA

Final 0:4

JS Saoura won Last goal: JS Saoura

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ismail Saadi — JS Saoura
  2. Sikiru Alimi — JS Saoura
  3. Nour Fettouhi — JS Saoura

2nd half

  1. Sikiru Alimi — JS Saoura

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 205 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 198 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
66 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
117 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
177 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview