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Algeria · Ligue Professionnelle 1 · 1. Division

12 May 2026 18:00 UTC

USM ALGER vs ES MOSTAGANEM

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: USM Alger

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Riad Benayad (penalty) — USM Alger
  2. ⚽ Farid Hamza Laireche — ES Mostaganem

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Benamar Benali (straight red) — ES Mostaganem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
USM Alger
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
12:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 3.5 18% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
8 predictions

Match overview