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Lithuania · A Lyga

06 May 2026 15:30 UTC

HEGELMANN vs FK PANEVEZYS

Final 3:2

Hegelmann won Last goal: FK Panevezys

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matijus Remeikis — Hegelmann
  2. ⚽ Njoya Kader — Hegelmann
  3. ⚽ Oleksandr Kurtsev — FK Panevezys

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Matijus Remeikis — Hegelmann
  2. ⚽ Isaac Asante — FK Panevezys

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
FK Panevezys
90-minute result: Hegelmann
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 167 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 140 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
96 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
108 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
136 predictions

Match overview