← Back to matches

Lithuania · A Lyga

05 May 2026 15:45 UTC

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS vs DZIUGAS TELSIAI

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Dziugas Telsiai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fabien Ourega — FK Kauno Zalgiris
  2. ⚽ Amine Benchaib — FK Kauno Zalgiris

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Rokas Lekiatas (straight red) — FK Kauno Zalgiris
  2. ⚽ Denis Zevzikovas — Dziugas Telsiai
  3. ⚽ Bacary Sane — Dziugas Telsiai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Dziugas Telsiai
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 138 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
106 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
3 predictions

Match overview