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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

04 May 2026 16:00 UTC

HAPOEL AFULA vs HAPOEL RAANANA

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 236 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
163 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
209 predictions

Match overview