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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

04 May 2026 15:00 UTC

JS OMRANE vs ESPERANCE

Final 0:1

Esperance won Last goal: Esperance

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Mohamed Ben Amor (straight red) — JS Omrane

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Hamza Jelassi (straight red) — Esperance
  2. ⚽ Yassine Meriah (penalty) — Esperance

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Esperance
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 214 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
65 predictions
Both teams to score 27% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 22% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 3.5 13% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview