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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

04 May 2026 15:00 UTC

CA BIZERTIN vs AVENIR DE LA MARSA

Final 1:2

Avenir de La Marsa won Last goal: CA Bizertin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Youssri Arfaoui (straight red) — Avenir de La Marsa
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Amine Khaloui (penalty) — Avenir de La Marsa
  3. ⚽ Youssouf Dao — Avenir de La Marsa
  4. ⚽ Olamilekan Nurudeen Ayinde — CA Bizertin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
CA Bizertin
90-minute result: Avenir de La Marsa
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 88% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 214 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 39% (Weak)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 22% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
207 predictions

Match overview