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Portugal · Liga 3 · Liga 3 Relegation Group A

03 May 2026 15:30 UTC

BRAGA B vs AD FAFE

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Afonso Duarte (2nd yellow) — Braga B

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Filipe Cardoso (2nd yellow) — AD Fafe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
AD Fafe
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 281 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
205 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
264 predictions

Match overview