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Italy · Serie A Femminile

03 May 2026 13:00 UTC

FIORENTINA vs COMO WOMEN

Final 1:0

Fiorentina won Last goal: Fiorentina

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Sofie Bruun Bredgaard (penalty) — Fiorentina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 118 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 118 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 65% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
88 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
67 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
106 predictions

Match overview