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Italy · Serie A Femminile

26 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

TERNANA FEMMINILE vs FIORENTINA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Fiorentina

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valeria Pirone (penalty) — Ternana Femminile
  2. ⚽ Alice Regazzoli — Ternana Femminile
  3. ⚽ Maya Cherubini — Fiorentina

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maria Filangeri — Fiorentina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Ternana Femminile
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 113 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
62 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
78 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
64 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
89 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
101 predictions

Match overview