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Belgium · Second Division · Challenger Pro League Promotion Playoff

02 May 2026 18:00 UTC

LOMMEL vs BEERSCHOT

Final 3:1 Almanac Moment

Lommel won Last goal: Lommel

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Schoofs — Lommel
  2. ⚽ Tom Reyners — Lommel
  3. ⚽ Lukas Van Eenoo — Beerschot

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sam De Grand — Lommel

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Lommel
90-minute result: Lommel
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
12%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 265 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 272 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
207 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
167 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview