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Turkey · Super Lig

02 May 2026 17:00 UTC

FENERBAHCE vs ISTANBUL BASAKSEHIR

Final 3:1

Fenerbahce won Last goal: Fenerbahce

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Talisca — Fenerbahce
  2. ⚽ Amine Harit · assist Kazimcan Karatas — Istanbul Basaksehir

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Talisca · assist Fred — Fenerbahce
  2. ⚽ Talisca · assist Fred — Fenerbahce

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Fenerbahce
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 93 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 278 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 276 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
73 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
245 predictions

Match overview