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Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

02 May 2026 12:30 UTC

KAPFENBERGER SV vs FC LIEFERING

Final 1:4

FC Liefering won Last goal: FC Liefering

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Phillip Verhounig (penalty) — FC Liefering
  2. ⚽ Bleron Krasniqi — Kapfenberger SV
  3. ⚽ Jakob Zangerl — FC Liefering
  4. ⚽ Phillip Verhounig (penalty) — FC Liefering
  5. ⚽ Oghenetejiri Adejenughure — FC Liefering

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Liefering
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
44 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview