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Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

02 May 2026 12:30 UTC

STURM GRAZ II vs SV AUSTRIA SALZBURG

Final 0:2

SV Austria Salzburg won Last goal: SV Austria Salzburg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marinko Sorda — SV Austria Salzburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Bares — SV Austria Salzburg
  2. 🟥 Sebastian Pirker (straight red) — Sturm Graz II

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Sturm Graz II
90-minute result: SV Austria Salzburg
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
158 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview