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Lithuania · A Lyga

01 May 2026 14:00 UTC

BANGA GARGZDAI vs FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ignas Venckus — Banga Gargzdai
  2. ⚽ Misaki Sato — Banga Gargzdai
  3. ⚽ Aldayr Hernandez — FK Kauno Zalgiris

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Dovydas Norvilas (straight red) — Banga Gargzdai
  2. ⚽ Anton Tolordava — FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Banga Gargzdai
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 133 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
91 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
116 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
131 predictions

Match overview