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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

30 Apr 2026 14:30 UTC

JS KAIROUANAISE vs BEN GUERDANE

Final 0:1

Ben Guerdane won Last goal: Ben Guerdane

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mustapha Samb — Ben Guerdane

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
JS Kairouanaise
90-minute result: Ben Guerdane
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 66% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 203 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
144 predictions
Both teams to score 74% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview