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Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 1. Division

30 Apr 2026 14:30 UTC

AVENIR DE LA MARSA vs ZARZIS

Final 1:0

Avenir de La Marsa won Last goal: Avenir de La Marsa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Youssouf Dao — Avenir de La Marsa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Avenir de La Marsa
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 203 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
62 predictions
Both teams to score 28% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview