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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. E

29 Apr 2026 22:00 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PLATENSE vs SANTA FE

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Club Atletico Platense won Last goal: Santa Fe

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Tomas Nasif — Club Atletico Platense
  2. Mateo Mendia — Club Atletico Platense
  3. Franco Fagúndez — Santa Fe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
35%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 54 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 52 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
35 predictions
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
22 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
45 predictions

Match overview