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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. G

28 Apr 2026 22:00 UTC

LANUS vs LDU DE QUITO

Final 1:0

Lanus won Last goal: Lanus

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Agustín Cardozo — Lanus

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Lanus
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 16% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 50 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
16 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
13 predictions
Total 2.5 89% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
41 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
43 predictions

Match overview