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Ecuador · Serie A

27 Apr 2026 21:30 UTC

MANTA vs UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA

Postponed

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 282 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 241 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match preview