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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

26 Apr 2026 21:00 UTC

AGUILAS DORADAS vs ONCE CALDAS

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Strong
Favorite
51%
1X2
Aguilas Doradas
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 61% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 122 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 420 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 389 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
272 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
113 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
231 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
324 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
366 predictions

Match preview