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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

25 Apr 2026 21:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO PEREIRA vs ATLETICO NACIONAL

Final 1:0

Deportivo Pereira won Last goal: Deportivo Pereira

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jordy Monroy — Deportivo Pereira
  2. 🟥 Juan Rengifo (straight red) — Atletico Nacional

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Deportivo Pereira
90-minute result: Deportivo Pereira
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 417 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 386 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
269 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
197 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
229 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
321 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
363 predictions

Match overview