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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura First Stage

25 Apr 2026 21:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA vs CARABOBO FC

Final 2:1

Deportivo Tachira won Last goal: Carabobo FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gustavo Lozano — Deportivo Tachira
  2. ⚽ Leandro Fioravanti — Deportivo Tachira

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eric Ramírez (penalty) — Carabobo FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
90-minute result: Deportivo Tachira
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 201 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
59 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
172 predictions

Match overview