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Venezuela · Primera Division · Primera Division - Apertura First Stage

21 Apr 2026 22:00 UTC

ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO vs TRUJILLANOS FC

Final 3:1

Academia Puerto Cabello won Last goal: Academia Puerto Cabello

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jean Castillo — Academia Puerto Cabello

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Robinson Flores — Academia Puerto Cabello
  2. ⚽ Nicolás Femia — Trujillanos FC
  3. ⚽ Jefre Vargas — Academia Puerto Cabello

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
90-minute result: Academia Puerto Cabello
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 200 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 76% (Strong)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
170 predictions

Match overview