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England · Women's Super League · WSL

25 Apr 2026 11:00 UTC

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION WOMEN vs MANCHESTER CITY WOMEN

Final 3:2

Brighton & Hove Albion Women won Last goal: Manchester City Women

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kerolin — Manchester City Women
  2. ⚽ Madison Haley · assist Fran Kirby — Brighton & Hove Albion Women

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kiko Seike · assist Fran Kirby — Brighton & Hove Albion Women
  2. ⚽ Madison Haley — Brighton & Hove Albion Women
  3. ⚽ Khadija Shaw · assist Iman Beney — Manchester City Women

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Brighton & Hove Albion Women
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
52%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
29%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 110 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview