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England · Women's Super League · WSL

29 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

ARSENAL WOMEN vs LEICESTER CITY WFC

Final 7:0

Arsenal Women won Last goal: Arsenal Women

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Frida Maanum · assist Taylor Hinds — Arsenal Women
  2. ⚽ Smilla Holmberg · assist Frida Maanum — Arsenal Women
  3. ⚽ Stina Blackstenius · assist Frida Maanum — Arsenal Women
  4. ⚽ Stina Blackstenius · assist Victoria Pelova — Arsenal Women

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Smilla Holmberg · assist Olivia Smith — Arsenal Women
  2. ⚽ Mariona Caldentey · assist Laia Codina — Arsenal Women
  3. ⚽ Leah Williamson · assist Smilla Holmberg — Arsenal Women

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Arsenal Women
90-minute result: Arsenal Women
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
15%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 7:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 115 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 116 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
98 predictions

Match overview