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Japan · J- League · J. League 100 Year Vision League West

25 Apr 2026 07:00 UTC

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA vs CEREZO OSAKA

Final 2:1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima won Last goal: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Thiago — Cerezo Osaka

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dion Cools (own goal) — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  2. ⚽ Kosuke Kinoshita (penalty) — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
90-minute result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
29%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 107 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 321 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview