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Japan · J- League · J. League 100 Year Vision League West

25 Apr 2026 05:00 UTC

SHIMIZU S-PULSE vs NAGOYA GRAMPUS

Final 0:2

Nagoya Grampus won Last goal: Nagoya Grampus

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yudai Kimura — Nagoya Grampus

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shungo Sugiura — Nagoya Grampus

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Nagoya Grampus
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
52%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
29%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 128 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 321 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview