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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

25 Apr 2026 20:45 UTC

LUQUENO vs SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE

Final 2:1

Luqueno won Last goal: Luqueno

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Iván Maggi — Luqueno
  2. Clementino Gonzalez — Sportivo Trinidense

2nd half

  1. Iván Maggi — Luqueno

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 236 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 210 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
178 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
194 predictions

Match overview