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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

24 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

MVV MAASTRICHT vs TOP OSS

Final 0:2

TOP Oss won Last goal: TOP Oss

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sirine Doucoure — TOP Oss
  2. ⚽ Luciano Slagveer — TOP Oss

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
40%
1X2
TOP Oss
90-minute result: TOP Oss
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 6% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 347 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 363 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
289 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
310 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
241 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
211 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
277 predictions

Match overview