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Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Taca de Portugal

22 Apr 2026 19:45 UTC

FC PORTO vs SPORTING CP

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Strong
Underdog
51%
1X2
Sporting CP
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 108 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 105 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
82 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
77 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
87 predictions

Match preview