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Asia · AFC Cup · AFC Champions League Two Final Stage

22 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

AL NASSR FC vs AL-AHLI

Final 5:1

Al Nassr FC won Last goal: Al Nassr FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sekou Yansané — Al-Ahli
  2. ⚽ Kingsley Coman — Al Nassr FC
  3. ⚽ Angelo Gabriel — Al Nassr FC
  4. ⚽ Kingsley Coman — Al Nassr FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kingsley Coman — Al Nassr FC
  2. ⚽ Abdullah Al-Hamdan — Al Nassr FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Al Nassr FC
90-minute result: Al Nassr FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
20%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 115 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 106 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 15 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 73% (Strong)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
55 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
83 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
52 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
92 predictions

Match overview