← Back to matches

Asia · AFC Cup · AFC Champions League Two Final Stage

15 Apr 2026 12:15 UTC

BANGKOK UNITED vs GAMBA OSAKA

Final 0:3

Gamba Osaka won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryoya Yamashita — Gamba Osaka
  2. ⚽ Issam Jebali — Gamba Osaka

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryotaro Meshino — Gamba Osaka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Gamba Osaka
90-minute result: Gamba Osaka
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 112 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 103 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
50 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
13 predictions

Match overview