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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Relegation Group

21 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

BW LINZ vs WOLFSBERGER AC

Final 3:0

BW Linz won Last goal: BW Linz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Shon Weissman — BW Linz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nico Maier — BW Linz
  2. ⚽ Nico Maier — BW Linz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
BW Linz
90-minute result: BW Linz
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 8% (Weak)
24 predictions

Match overview