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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

19 Apr 2026 12:30 UTC

AUSTRIA WIEN vs SALZBURG

Final 1:3

Salzburg won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kerim Alajbegovic — Salzburg
  2. ⚽ Karim Konaté — Salzburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kelvin Boateng — Austria Wien
  2. ⚽ Karim Onisiwo — Salzburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Salzburg
90-minute result: Salzburg
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 158 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 156 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
115 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 9% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview