← Back to matches

Scotland · FA Cup

19 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

CELTIC vs ST. MIRREN

Final 6:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daizen Maeda — Celtic
  2. ⚽ Anthony Ralston — Celtic

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mikaël Mandron — St. Mirren
  2. ⚽ Mikaël Mandron — St. Mirren

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Kelechi Iheanacho — Celtic
  2. ⚽ Luke McCowan — Celtic
  3. ⚽ Kelechi Iheanacho — Celtic
  4. ⚽ Benjamin Nygren — Celtic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 65 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 63 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
16 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
21 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
8 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
40 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
56 predictions

Match overview