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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

19 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

SPORTING CRISTAL vs CD UT CAJAMARCA

Final 3:2

Sporting Cristal won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Felipe Vizeu — Sporting Cristal

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luis Iberico — Sporting Cristal
  2. ⚽ Abdiel Arroyo — CD UT Cajamarca
  3. ⚽ Maxloren Castro — Sporting Cristal
  4. ⚽ Marcos Lliuya — CD UT Cajamarca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Sporting Cristal
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 245 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
230 predictions

Match overview