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Turkey · 1. Lig

13 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

SAKARYASPOR vs ESENLER EROKSPOR

Final 1:2

Esenler Erokspor won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Burak Bekaroglu — Sakaryaspor

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Recep Niyaz — Esenler Erokspor
  2. 🟥 Serkan Yavuz — Sakaryaspor
  3. ⚽ Hamza Catakovic — Esenler Erokspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Esenler Erokspor
90-minute result: Esenler Erokspor
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 336 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 334 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
250 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
289 predictions

Match overview